- The Padres are -150 favorites vs the Angels
- Padres vs Angels Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Padres / Angels TV Channel: FS1 | PDTV | BSW
The San Diego Padres (-150) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+125) on Wednesday, June 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Padres are 32-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 35-26 ATS.
Padres vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 5-4, 3.43 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 2-5, 3.88 ERA
Padres vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +115 | O 8 -115 | -150 |
| Angels | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -105 | +125 |
Padres vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 37 games (+18.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+16.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 48 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+12.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+12.00 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 games at home (+25.50 Units / 106% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 32 games (+19.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+14.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+9.85 Units / 61% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 away games (+16.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.04 Units / 54% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 away games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 19 games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 33-31 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 5.58% ROI).
- 32-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -8.58% ROI
- 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -2.64% ROI
- 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -6.2% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 35-26 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -3.64% ROI).
- 23-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -15% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 3.27% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -12.12% ROI
Angels vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Willie Calhoun (LAA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Angels vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Angels vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willie Calhoun (LAA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +110 |
| José Soriano (LAA) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .250 (280 PAs) this season — eighth best among qualified SPs– 91st Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.
10 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (109/304) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (187/563) against Dylan Cease this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (95/163) against Jose Soriano this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (65/106) against Jose Soriano in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 77% (24/31) against Jose Soriano on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (106/251) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 17% — 95th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Padres are just 7-21 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Padres are 26-27 (.491) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Padres are just 1-95 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Padres are just 19-36 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Angels are just 104-45 (.698) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Angels are just 17-20 (.459) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Angels are just 21-104 (.168) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Angels are just 32-57 (.360) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .290 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Padres are batting .249 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Padres hitters have just 72 strikeouts in 483 PA’s (15%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,254 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels have won just 27% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
The Angels are hitting just .212 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (1,126 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .312 (1,856 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (5,431 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 59 of 544 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 331 of 3,418 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 209 of 1,978 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 55 of 455 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
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