Padres vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 20

min read
Atlanta Braves' Matt Olson (28) runs to first base in the seventh inning of Game 2 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Monday, Oct. 9, 2023, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
(AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 20, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Braves are -125 favorites vs the Padres
  • Padres vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Padres / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-125) on Monday, May 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Padres are 24-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 21-21 ATS.

Padres vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 0-2, 6.32 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 6-1, 2.56 ERA

Padres vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -200O 7.5 +100+105
Braves -1.5 +165U 7.5 -120-125

Padres vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 67.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Padres vs Braves and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 away games (+33.00 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+12.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+12.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+16.50 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+16.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 games at home (+15.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+15.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 22 away games (+13.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 28 games (+20.55 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+2.70 Units / 6% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 25-23 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 5.92% ROI).

  • 24-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -8.61% ROI
  • 25-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 2.1% ROI
  • 22-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -10.53% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 21-21 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 1.9% ROI).

  • 26-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 1.01% ROI
  • 13-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -35.59% ROI
  • 27-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.7 Units / 27.19% ROI

Braves vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Ronald Acuna (ATL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Ozzie Albies (ATL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Braves vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ronald Acuna (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Michael Harris (ATL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jake Cronenworth (SD) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Braves vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jake Cronenworth (SD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Braves vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Cease (SD) 6.5 -160 6.5 +125
Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) 4.5 +125 4.5 -165

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .214 (206 PAs) this season — second best among qualified SPs– 99th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .110 (11-for-100) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

8 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .141 (26-for-185) against Dylan Cease this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

10 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

10 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .172 (20 Total Bases / 116 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — 98th Percentile.

Chris Sale has walked 1 of 72 batters (1%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Padres are just 6-18 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Padres are just 7-140 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Padres are just 4-149 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Padres are just 18-33 (.353) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Braves are 34-55 (.382) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Braves are 17-60 (.221) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Braves are 186-41 (.819) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Padres are batting .290 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Padres are batting just .211 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Padres hitters have drawn 1,010 walks in 10,128 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Braves hitters are slugging .576 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Braves hitters are slugging .502 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

Braves hitters are slugging .474 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

The Braves are batting .274 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 18%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Braves pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Braves vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
  • Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL

Bet now on Padres vs Braves and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.