- The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Padres / Brewers TV Channel: Roku
The San Diego Padres (+145) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-175) on Sunday, June 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Padres are 36-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 32-31 ATS.
Padres vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Ryan Bergert 1-0, 2.08 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-4, 2.95 ERA
Padres vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -110 | +145 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +130 | U 8.5 -110 | -175 |
Padres vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.80 Units / 176% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+13.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 away games (+9.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.95 Units / 15% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+14.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+8.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 39% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 34-29 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 2.24% ROI).
- 36-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 3.34% ROI
- 25-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.15 Units / -20.63% ROI
- 36-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.05 Units / 11.47% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 32-31 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -5.4% ROI).
- 35-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 5.73% ROI
- 24-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -25.35% ROI
- 38-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.75 Units / 16.57% ROI
Brewers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Brewers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Brewers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Brewers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
| Ryan Bergert (SD) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Bergert has limited playing time.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has thrown just 34% of his pitches in the strike zone (84/244) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has thrown just 42% of his pitches in the strike zone (237/568) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 61% (2,624/4,310) since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (836/1,417) in two strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Padres are 7-17 (.292) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Padres are 16-80 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Padres are 86-12 (.878) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Padres are 116-93 (.555) after a win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Brewers are 31-18 (.633) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 115-77 (.599) at home since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Brewers are 174-14 (.926) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Brewers are 53-5 (.914) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters struck out just 799 times in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,085 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Brewers hitters have 76 extra-base hits out of 266 total hits (just 29%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since the 2023 season (9,392 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 58% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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