- The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV | MLBN
The San Diego Padres (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 7-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-8 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 2-0, 3.14 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1-1, 3.97 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 -105 | +165 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -115 | -200 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+20.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+15.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+14.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+11.50 Units / 88% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+14.40 Units / 96% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- James Paxton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 146 games (+15.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 7-8 against the Run Line (+0.97 Units / 5.81% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.21 Units / -11.57% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.53 Units / -3.19% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -3.63% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.64 Units / -9.87% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 4.37% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.42 Units / 20.5% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -29.23% ROI
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Michael King (SD) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has walked 10 of 33 left-handed batters (30%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 49% of Michael King’s pitches in the zone (61/124) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .194 (18-for-93) against Michael King on low fastballs since the 2022 season — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .273 — 92nd Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 35% of Michael King’s pitches (90/257) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a strikeout rate of 32% (15 SO in 47 PAs) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (27/85) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — 4th best among in NL; League Avg: 24% — 93rd Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a strikeout rate of 32% (15 SO in 47 PAs) this season — 6th best among in NL; League Avg: 22% — 90th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (34/95) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are just 3-15 (.167) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Padres are 50-8 (.862) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Padres are just 15-30 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .457.
The Dodgers were 45-17 (.726) after a loss in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Dodgers are 197-31 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Dodgers were 87-10 (.897) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have 11 extra-base hits out of 19 total hits (58%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Padres hitters are slugging .466 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (9,426 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .688 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 21 double plays in 392 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.3 MPH (313 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1441.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 501 of 6,575 batters (8%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
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