- The Dodgers are -160 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: ESPN
The San Diego Padres (+130) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 7-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-8 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 0-1, 3.86 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 2-0, 1.64 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -110 | +130 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -110 | -155 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Joe Musgrove has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Eguy Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Eguy Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James Paxton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 17 games at home (+7.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tyler Glasnow has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 146 games (+15.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 7-8 against the Run Line (+0.97 Units / 5.81% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.21 Units / -11.57% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.53 Units / -3.19% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -3.63% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.64 Units / -9.87% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 4.37% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.42 Units / 20.5% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -29.23% ROI
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Paxton (LAD) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Yu Darvish (SD) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (10/20) against Yu Darvish when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 71% (12/17) against Yu Darvish with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Yu Darvish has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (32/54) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (5/17) against Yu Darvish in two-strike counts this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — ninth Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (32 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — third Percentile.
James Paxton has an average spin rate of 1923.0 RPM on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 2515.4 — first Percentile.
James Paxton had a strike rate of 71% (363/513) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 17 of 125 batters (14%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are just 1-74 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Padres are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 198-31 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers were 45-17 (.726) after a loss in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 50-18 (.735) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 532 walks in 5,012 PA’s (11%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters have 11 extra-base hits out of 20 total hits (55%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Padres hitters have just 104 strikeouts in 531 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters drew 494 walks in 4,481 PA’s (11%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (9,487 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .768 (4,042 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
The Dodgers have scored 1.61 runs per game (548/341) in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.9 MPH (346 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
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