- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: FS1
The San Diego Padres (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) on Sunday, October 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 95-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 81-82 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 7-3, 3.32 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 13-7, 3.18 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -105 | +120 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -115 | -145 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 88 games (+22.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 82 away games (+14.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+22.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+9.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+6.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 84-81 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 2.62% ROI).
- 95-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.4 Units / 4.63% ROI
- 85-76 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.02% ROI
- 76-85 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.1 Units / -9.92% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 81-82 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -3.13% ROI).
- 99-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -2.29% ROI
- 90-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.15 Units / 8.46% ROI
- 68-90 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.05 Units / -17.27% ROI
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish (SD) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has thrown off-speed pitches 77% of the time (37/48) when he’s behind in the count over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .144 (28-for-195) against Yu Darvish on fastballs away since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 99th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Yu Darvish in the 2023 season was 385.4 feet — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .226 (44 Total Bases / 195 ABs) on fastballs away since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: .375 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 30% (194 SO in 649 PAs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (292/571) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (714/1,415) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 9 of 252 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 48-33 (.593) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Padres are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 19-47 (.288) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Padres are 11-59 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 269-49 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 169-29 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Dodgers are 24-138 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Dodgers are 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 278 strikeouts in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .201 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Padres hitters have just 1,077 strikeouts in 6,103 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .275 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (13,550 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have 319 extra-base hits out of 802 total hits (40%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (7,878 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,362 of 17,930 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Padres vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
