- The Mets are -120 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Padres / Mets TV Channel: WPIX | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Padres are 37-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 31-37 ATS.
Padres vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Adam Mazur 0-1, 9.01 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-5, 5.24 ERA
Padres vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -210 | O 8.5 -105 | +100 |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -115 | -120 |
Padres vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+20.80 Units / 347% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+17.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 45 games (+17.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+14.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.80 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games at home (+9.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jose Quintana has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+9.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+9.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 away games (+14.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.35 Units / 88% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 away games (+3.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+3.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 36-37 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 2.55% ROI).
- 37-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -7.62% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -4.01% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -4.57% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 31-37 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -10.32% ROI).
- 31-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -10.72% ROI
- 33-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -1.63% ROI
- 31-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -6.48% ROI
Mets vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| DJ Stewart (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Mazur has allowed an OBP of .636 (22 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .322 — first Percentile.
Adam Mazur has not struck out any hitters in 22 PA’s vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — second Percentile.
Adam Mazur has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (45/76) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Mazur has a strikeout rate of just 10% (4 SO in 41 PAs) this month (2 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — third Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 50% (422/844) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Jose Quintana has thrown his changeup for a strike just 48% (108/226) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (192/389) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (178/313) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Padres are just 7-21 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Padres are 27-3 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .811.
The Padres are just 0-33 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .060.
The Padres are just 19-36 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Mets are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.
The Mets are just 19-10 (.655) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Mets are just 15-9 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .846.
The Mets are 5-28 (.152) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .060.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .285 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .337 (1,871 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Padres hitters have just 345 strikeouts in 1,871 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .199 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .271 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Mets have won just 36% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
The Mets are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.
The Mets are batting just .215 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (5,652 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 62 of 614 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers have walked 858 of 8,709 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 202 of 2,026 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Padres vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
