- The Padres are -145 favorites vs the Rockies
- Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV | MLBN
The San Diego Padres (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on Thursday, April 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Padres are 14-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 11-14 ATS.
Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 0-1, 1.80 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 0-4, 5.07 ERA
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +105 | O 11 -115 | -145 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | U 11 -105 | +120 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.55 Units / 80% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+5.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 14-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 11-14 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 6-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Jones (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ha-seong Kim (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nolan Jones (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler Wade (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Luis Campusano (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez has limited playing time.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has allowed an OBP of .423 (130 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .294 — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (135 SO in 1,046 PAs) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 15% (14/95) against Dakota Hudson this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has allowed an OPS of .969 (130 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .670 — 0 Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Padres are just 1-78 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Padres are 23-24 (.489) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Padres are just 83-13 (.865) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 46-22 (.676) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Rockies are just 18-16 (.529) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Rockies are just 50-14 (.781) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 34 walks in 242 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,959 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
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