- The Padres are -350 favorites vs the Rockies
- Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (-350) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+275) on Sunday, May 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Padres are 25-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 12-27 ATS.
Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 5-1, 2.03 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: German Marquez 0-6, 10.02 ERA
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -2.5 -160 | O 11.5 -115 | -350 |
| Rockies | +2.5 +135 | U 11.5 -105 | +275 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 65.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+22.40 Units / 280% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 games (+10.35 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.45 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+11.40 Units / 114% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.32 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+10.92 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 24-14 against the Run Line (+8.6 Units / 16.73% ROI).
- 25-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 23.81% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -15.75% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 7% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 12-27 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -37.71% ROI).
- 6-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -24 Units / -60.53% ROI
- 16-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -18.95% ROI
- 22-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 10.1% ROI
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jason Heyward (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elias Diaz (SD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Farmer (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (SD) | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 -110 |
| German Marquez (COL) | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -118 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .143 (10-for-70) against Nick Pivetta this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .120 (83 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .027 (1-for-37) against Nick Pivetta’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .076 (6-for-79) against Nick Pivetta with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
German Marquez has an ERA of 9.90 (30.0 IP)this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 3.91 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .362 (47-for-130) against German Marquez this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .416 (42-for-101) against German Marquez on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 0 Percentile.
22% of German Marquez’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 4-9 (.308) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Padres are 15-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .826.
The Padres are 25-13 (.658) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Padres are 72-45 (.615) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 88-36 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Rockies are just 6-30 (.167) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Rockies are just 107-15 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 48-132 (.265) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .202 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 15% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have won just 23% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 27% of games in which they have scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 67%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 10% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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