- The Royals are -135 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Padres / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (+115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Sunday, June 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Padres are 32-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 38-22 ATS.
Padres vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 4-4, 4.12 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 4-4, 3.36 ERA
Padres vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -110 | +115 |
| Royals | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -110 | -135 |
Padres vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 45 games (+16.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+14.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.35 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+22.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+20.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+20.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 47 games (+19.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+16.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 29 away games (+17.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 away games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.79 Units / 39% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 56 games (+15.89 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 32-29 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 7.19% ROI).
- 32-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 32-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 2.25% ROI
- 28-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -10.93% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 38-22 against the Run Line (+12.29 Units / 14.62% ROI).
- 35-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 15.57% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -12.41% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 3.54% ROI
Royals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Royals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Donovan Solano (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Royals vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael King (SD) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has walked 29 of 282 batters (10%) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Michael King has struck out 31% (44/143) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 5th best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 91st Percentile.
Michael King has allowed a slugging percentage of .912 (31 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .402 — first Percentile.
Michael King has a strikeout rate of 33% (70 SO in 214 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 11th best among among 142 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 92nd Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .522 (12 GB hits out of 23 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners on base this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (172/553) against Cole Ragans this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (165/494) against Cole Ragans this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (4-for-30) against Cole Ragans on low fastballs this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — 94th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Padres are just 7-20 (.259) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Padres are just 19-35 (.352) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Padres are just 4-154 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Padres are 26-27 (.491) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Royals are just 15-90 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 15-29 (.341) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Royals are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 23-50 (.315) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .295 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .349 (1,145 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Padres hitters have just 29 strikeouts in 228 PA’s (13%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have an OPS of .767 (1,145 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of .394 (260 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Royals have won just 47% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .649 (4,047 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (5,361 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
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