Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 10:40 AM
  • Phillies / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | MLBN

The Philadelphia Phillies (+110) visit TD Ballpark to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on Saturday, February 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:07pm EST in Dunedin, FL.

Last season, the Phillies were 98-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays were 75-89 ATS.

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Phillies+110
Blue Jays -130

Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 52.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.05 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 away games (+2.25 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Johan Rojas has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Kody Clemens has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Phillies went 80-95 against the Run Line (-20.3 Units / -9.48% ROI).

  • 98-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -0.99% ROI
  • 78-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -6.74% ROI
  • 83-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -1.5% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Blue Jays went 75-89 against the Run Line (-17.55 Units / -8.6% ROI).

  • 89-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -6.13% ROI
  • 72-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.4 Units / -11.38% ROI
  • 85-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 3.03% ROI

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Phillies are 27-115 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Phillies were 69-7 (.908) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Phillies were 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Phillies are 47-33 (.588) after a road win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .494.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Blue Jays are 158-36 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Blue Jays are 68-103 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Blue Jays were 34-52 (.395) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Phillies batted .166 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Phillies hitters had an OPS of .790 (3,042 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Phillies hitters slugged .454 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Phillies batted .252 with two outs in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Blue Jays hitters struck out just 268 times in 1,405 PA’s (19%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters had an OBP of .334 (3,202 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Blue Jays hitters had 107 extra-base hits out of 340 total hits (just 32%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.4 MPH (4,019 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Phillies pitchers won 40% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Phillies pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 95 double plays in 1,088 opportunities (9%) in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers had an ERA of 3.90 (706.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cavan Biggio (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Brandon Marsh (Philadelphia Phillies): Knee, Out
  • Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
  • Alec Bohm (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, Day-To-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.