- The Phillies are -155 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: NSPA | DBTV
The Philadelphia Phillies (-145) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Phillies are 69-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 58-58 ATS.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 11-5, 2.79 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 8-6, 4.64 ERA
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -110 | -145 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -110 | +120 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+15.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+11.00 Units / 122% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 22 games (+42.00 Units / 191% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+17.95 Units / 82% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+17.25 Units / 78% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+14.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 49% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+17.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 98 games (+15.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 98 games (+12.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 97 games (+11.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 60 games (+18.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 59-56 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 1.26% ROI).
- 69-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 0.76% ROI
- 53-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -8.1% ROI
- 57-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.19% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 58-58 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -4.21% ROI).
- 63-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 4.17% ROI
- 63-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 5.79% ROI
- 50-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.05 Units / -15.03% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (50 Total Bases / 225 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .202 (242 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .151 (34-for-225) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (2,220/5,199) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .558 (242 Total Bases / 434 ABs) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .404 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .332 (144-for-434) against Ryne Nelson at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 37.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 70.2.
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 15% (81/541) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Phillies are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Phillies are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 17-11 (.607) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Diamondbacks are just 186-18 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Diamondbacks are 15-12 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Diamondbacks are 18-104 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Diamondbacks are 19-14 (.576) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .254 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .780 (5,035 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .335 (3,286 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,035 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .446 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .285.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .562 (5,469 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .299 with two-strikes since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
- Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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