- The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Royals
- Phillies vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Phillies / Royals TV Channel: NSPA | BSKC | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Phillies are 74-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 73-55 ATS.
Phillies vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 10-5, 2.89 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 9-8, 3.18 ERA
Phillies vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -115 | -115 |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 -105 | -105 |
Phillies vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+11.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+24.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+16.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 away games (+13.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 113 games (+9.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 111 games (+5.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 78 games (+4.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+13.99 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+12.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 65 games at home (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 63-65 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -3.34% ROI).
- 74-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -2.17% ROI
- 59-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -8.36% ROI
- 64-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.89% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 73-55 against the Run Line (+10.29 Units / 5.98% ROI).
- 72-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 7.35% ROI
- 58-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -9.42% ROI
- 65-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 0.53% ROI
Royals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Royals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Royals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Royals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (229/382) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (131/226) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .145 (8-for-55) against Ranger Suarez’s elevated fastball this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .216 — 95th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 62% (3,282/5,295) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer allowed a batting average of just .192 vs right-handed batters (fifth best)– 94th Percentile and .289 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– fourth Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 56% of the time (372/660) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of .356 (483 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — sixth Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed an OPS of just .512 (262 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 98th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 17-11 (.607) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Phillies are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 26-23 (.531) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Royals are 26-37 (.413) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Royals are just 14-72 (.163) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Royals are just 23-101 (.185) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Royals are just 36-17 (.679) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,167 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Phillies are batting .265 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Phillies are batting .274 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .786 (3,418 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 673 strikeouts in 3,638 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging .265 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,256 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have just 193 strikeouts in 1,107 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .235 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Royals have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
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