- The Royals are -140 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Phillies / Royals TV Channel: NSPA | BSKC | ESPN+
The Philadelphia Phillies (+120) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-140) on Sunday, August 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Phillies are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 0-0 ATS.
Phillies vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Kolby Allard 1-0, 3.46 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 14-7, 3.01 ERA
Phillies vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -185 | O 10 -110 | +120 |
| Royals | -1.5 +150 | U 10 -110 | -140 |
Phillies vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+11.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+24.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+16.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 away games (+13.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 113 games (+9.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 111 games (+5.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 78 games (+4.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+13.99 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+12.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 65 games at home (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Royals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Royals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Dairon Blanco (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Johan Rojas (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Royals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kolby Allard (PHI) | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +115 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 8% (2/24) against Kolby Allard this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Kolby Allard has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 87% (20/23) of opposing batters this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Kolby Allard has thrown his changeup 31% of the time (38/124) this month (2 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 93rd Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .275 (25-for-91) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (35/208) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2022 season (10th best among qualified RPs)– 90th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 20% (21 SO in 103 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 18th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Phillies are 26-23 (.531) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 17-11 (.607) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 36-151 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Royals are just 23-101 (.185) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Royals are 26-37 (.413) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Royals are just 36-17 (.679) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Royals are just 26-113 (.187) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .337 against LHP this month (19 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .380 (213 PA’s) against LHP this month (19 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,562 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Phillies are batting .256 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 874 strikeouts in 4,778 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,256 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters are slugging .508 against RHP this month (20 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Royals won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .236 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Royals have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .280 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Royals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
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