- The Blue Jays are -165 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Pirates / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Sunday, June 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Pirates are 27-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 27-30 ATS.
Pirates vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Quinn Priester 0-4, 4.28 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 5-6, 4.01 ERA
Pirates vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -120 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 +100 | -165 |
Pirates vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+14.50 Units / 145% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+10.20 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 18 games (+19.00 Units / 106% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+10.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 31-27 against the Run Line (+0.86 Units / 1.1% ROI).
- 27-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -8.52% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 2.8% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.37 Units / -10.04% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 27-30 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -10.24% ROI).
- 27-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -11.24% ROI
- 24-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -18.13% ROI
- 32-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 8.44% ROI
Blue Jays vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Blue Jays vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 81% (13/16) against Quinn Priester on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 53% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (13/96) against Quinn Priester this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (60/96) against Quinn Priester this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Quinn Priester has a strikeout rate of just 14% (17 SO in 123 PAs) this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (9/91) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (22 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (127 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 80.9
Opponents are hitting .227 (30-for-132) against Chris Bassitt with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — fourth Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Pirates are just 80-113 (.415) on the road since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Pirates are 74-18 (.804) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Pirates are just 121-30 (.801) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Pirates are 51-8 (.864) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Blue Jays are 25-17 (.595) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 19-11 (.633) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are 23-12 (.657) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Pirates are batting just .221 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Pirates are batting just .235 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are batting just .181 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 358 strikeouts in 1,896 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .205 this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .180 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,367 of 14,717 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Pirates have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Pirates have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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