- The Cardinals are -175 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Pirates are 32-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 32-33 ATS.
Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 3-3, 3.71 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 7-4, 3.21 ERA
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -125 | +145 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -105 | -175 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 away games (+12.50 Units / 104% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 20 games (+23.45 Units / 117% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 63% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 109% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 36-30 against the Run Line (+3.51 Units / 4.02% ROI).
- 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -4.1% ROI
- 33-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 29-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.67 Units / -9.22% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 32-33 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -5.52% ROI).
- 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -11.12% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -13.25% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 4.97% ROI
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Dylan Carlson (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (31/85) against Bailey Falter with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (401/937) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (78/257) against Bailey Falter on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (54/162) against Bailey Falter this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .137 (37 Total Bases / 271 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .391 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .299 (108 Total Bases / 361 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .559 (387 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 96th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 59% (82 SO in 138 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 12-15 (.444) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Pirates are 52-11 (.825) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Pirates are just 81-19 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Pirates are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 2-17 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.
The Cardinals are 30-13 (.698) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 9-94 (.087) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cardinals are just 20-56 (.263) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Pirates hitters have 48 strikeouts in 116 PA’s (41%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Pirates hitters have 176 strikeouts in 498 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (719 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Cardinals are just 36-57 (.375) against the run line (-30.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Cardinals are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
The Pirates have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,391 of 15,035 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed 144 barreled balls this season — tied for 5th most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 4,065 times since the 2022 season — 4th most in MLB.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 36 of 574 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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