- The Pirates are -110 favorites vs the Giants
- Pirates vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Pirates / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 14-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 13-15 ATS.
Pirates vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 2-2, 2.80 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Keaton Winn 2-3, 3.58 ERA
Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -120 | -110 |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 +100 | -110 |
Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+17.20 Units / 215% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alika Williams has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 16 games (+17.00 Units / 106% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+7.50 Units / 25% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.81 Units / 4% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 16-12 against the Run Line (+1.26 Units / 3.15% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.61% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -10.52% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.03 Units / 3.35% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 13-15 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -7.33% ROI).
- 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -16.25% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.49% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -8.49% ROI
Giants vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Giants vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Triolo (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jared Triolo (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (98/236) against Jared Jones this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 45% (58/130) against Jared Jones this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has struck out 41% (25/61) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 73% (297/404) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keaton Winn allowed a batting average of .320 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– 11th Percentile and just .087 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for best among qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.
Keaton Winn has a strikeout rate of just 9% (4 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (44/74) against Keaton Winn this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Keaton Winn has allowed a slugging percentage of just .174 (8 Total Bases / 46 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 93rd Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 67-16 (.807) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Pirates are just 27-40 (.403) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Pirates are just 13-20 (.394) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 74-104 (.416) on the road since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 28-14 (.667) after a home loss since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Giants are 142-3 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Giants are just 21-26 (.447) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Giants are 77-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .499 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .178 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Pirates are batting just .234 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Pirates hitters have 385 strikeouts in 1,143 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .242 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Giants are batting just .243 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants hitters are slugging just .376 at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Giants hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.69 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The average home run distance against the Pirates pitchers this season is 408.2 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 395.7
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Pirates pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed the 1st hardest ball in play hit (115.1 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 475 of 7,071 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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