- The Pirates are -120 favorites vs the Marlins
- Pirates vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-110) on Sunday, March 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Pirates are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 3-0 ATS.
Pirates vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Pirates vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Pirates vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Pirates vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 108% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 away games (+7.50 Units / 250% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+22.00 Units / 220% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+10.50 Units / 105% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.80 Units / 72% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 74 away games (+7.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.55 Units / 62% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 79 games at home (+29.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 70 games (+18.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 67 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 0-3 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -41.98% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 24.64% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -34.92% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 3-0 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 66.67% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 41.67% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 24.64% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -34.92% ROI
Marlins vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Dane Myers (MIA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tommy Pham (PIT) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Dane Myers (MIA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Marlins vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers (MIA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tommy Pham (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Marlins vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
| Andrew Heaney (PIT) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (293/543) of the time in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to September 8th, 2024 — Matt Waldron has the longest active streak at 7.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (30/85) against Andrew Heaney when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 36% (72/198) against Andrew Heaney in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Meyer has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 17th, 2024 — Matt Waldron has the longest active streak at 7.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates are just 135-10 (.931) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Pirates were just 7-37 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Twins (11th best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 26-20 (.565) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are hitless in 6 AB’s against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Pirates hitters have 419 strikeouts in 1,605 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates hitters had 68 extra-base hits out of 233 total hits (just 29%) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .379 against RHP since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters had 149 extra-base hits out of 547 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Marlins had a winning percentage of just 37% at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Pirates pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers had 266 three-pitch strikeouts in the 2024 season — 3rd most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 52% of their games since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 452.8 feet — — 4th shortest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.27 (781.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Pirates vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
