- The Mets are -250 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Pirates / Mets TV Channel: SNY | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+185) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-225) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Pirates are 14-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 23-19 ATS.
Pirates vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 1-4, 4.40 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 4-2, 1.17 ERA
Pirates vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -110 | +185 |
| Mets | -1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -110 | -225 |
Pirates vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 66.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+19.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+20.90 Units / 522% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Francisco Alvarez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 away games (+3.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+9.84 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.29 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 16-26 against the Run Line (-15.3 Units / -28.07% ROI).
- 14-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -27.95% ROI
- 16-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -19.74% ROI
- 23-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 11.88% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 23-19 against the Run Line (+7.04 Units / 13.66% ROI).
- 27-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 10.14% ROI
- 16-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -22.95% ROI
- 24-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 13.48% ROI
Mets vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mets vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mets vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | 5.5 -190 | 5.5 +140 |
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .304 (95-for-313) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.
Mitch Keller allowed an OPS of .927 (274 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller allowed a slugging percentage of .563 (138 Total Bases / 245 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .352 (344 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — first Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .111 (36-for-324) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 97th Percentile.
Kodai Senga allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (54 Total Bases / 324 ABs) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 97th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has a strike rate of just 56% (98/176) this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Kodai Senga has walked 20% of batters this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Pirates are just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Pirates are just 11-38 (.224) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Pirates are just 0-14 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Pirates were just 65-7 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Mets are 10-4 (.714) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Pirates (24th best runs scored) today.
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 12-3 (.800) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have struck out in 34% of it’s PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .375 since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Pirates hitters struck out 417 times in 1,598 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .350 (301 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mets hitters have struck out in just 20% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (1,952 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .181 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Pirates pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Pirates have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Mets pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 121 of 1,445 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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