- The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rangers / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rangers are 44-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 48-45 ATS.
Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 3-9, 3.79 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 6-6, 4.54 ERA
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -115 | +125 |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -105 | -150 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+15.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games (+4.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 45% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 35 games (+16.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+13.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games at home (+9.50 Units / 61% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 44-49 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -7.96% ROI).
- 44-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -10.91% ROI
- 36-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -21 Units / -20.49% ROI
- 52-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.75 Units / 12.48% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 48-45 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 3.46% ROI).
- 49-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -5.51% ROI
- 37-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.45 Units / -20.12% ROI
- 53-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 12.08% ROI
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 64% (146/229) against Andrew Heaney on changeups this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .179 (35-for-196) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 57% (608/1,059) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (990/1,806) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has walked 15 of 99 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .420 (68-for-162) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .320 — first Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .383 (162 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — third Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of .659 (27 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs away this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .353 — sixth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 3-184 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 2-33 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Rangers are just 5-92 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are 44-25 (.638) after a home win since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 70-52 (.574) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Astros are 110-30 (.786) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Astros are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,064/15,821 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .334 (2,633 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
The Rangers are batting .359 against starting pitchers this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .950 (652 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.061.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have just 816 strikeouts in 4,638 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,376/9,786 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,217/15,840 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Rangers have allowed 3.31 runs per game (149/45) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
The Rangers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 46% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.1 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.3
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since last season is 393.3 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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