- The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Astros
- Rangers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (-120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+100) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rangers are 44-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 49-45 ATS.
Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 6-3, 3.13 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 4-7, 6.02 ERA
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -110 | -120 |
| Astros | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -110 | +100 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 90 games (+13.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 42 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 36 games (+18.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+12.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 44-50 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -9.2% ROI).
- 44-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -11.67% ROI
- 37-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -20 Units / -19.31% ROI
- 52-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.65 Units / 11.28% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 49-45 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 4.65% ROI).
- 50-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -4.7% ROI
- 38-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -18.93% ROI
- 53-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 10.89% ROI
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has not allowed a runner to reach base (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .109 (46 PA’s) this month (2 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 18 AB’s against Nathan Eovaldi when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 18 AB’s against Nathan Eovaldi when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .254 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 22 of 133 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 27 of 220 batters (12%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .415 (135 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.736 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .772 — 0 Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 2-34 (.056) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Rangers are just 3-185 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 5-93 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are 21-3 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .754.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 176-25 (.876) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Astros are just 0-33 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Astros are 37-24 (.607) after a road loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Astros are 198-20 (.908) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rangers hitters are slugging .463 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,069/15,857 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Rangers on 54% of their plate appearances since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.. *
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 821 strikeouts in 4,661 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging .488 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .361.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,382/9,822 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 329 of 3,486 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 52 of 825 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .225 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.06 (414.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 387.7 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.3
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the 2022 season is 393.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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