- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rangers / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rangers are 45-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 50-45 ATS.
Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-2, 3.18 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-3, 2.54 ERA
Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -115 | +105 |
| Astros | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -105 | -125 |
Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+14.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 37 games (+19.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+13.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+10.50 Units / 58% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 44-51 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -9.94% ROI).
- 45-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -10.71% ROI
- 37-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.1 Units / -20.15% ROI
- 53-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.65 Units / 12.12% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 50-45 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 5.44% ROI).
- 50-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -5.41% ROI
- 38-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.55 Units / -19.79% ROI
- 54-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.35 Units / 11.73% ROI
Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer (TEX) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (18/65) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (23/79) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.5 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (79 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Max Scherzer when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .257 — third Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ronel Blanco has walked 22 of 154 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has allowed a BABIP of .185 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .150 (6-for-40) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .144 (19-for-132) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 2-34 (.056) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Rangers are just 9-168 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 5-93 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are just 0-33 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Astros are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 176-25 (.876) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Astros are 70-52 (.574) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have put just 25% of their swings in play against LHP this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Rangers are 42-25 (.609) against the run line (29.1% ROI) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Rangers hitters have 17 strikeouts in 48 PA’s (35%) against LHP this month (7 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .755 (7,229 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 821 strikeouts in 4,661 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,389/9,862 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 500 strikeouts in 2,811 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers pitchers have walked 330 of 3,526 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 27 of 433 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 387.8 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.3
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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