- The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rangers / Blue Jays TV Channel: ATV+
The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-120) on Friday, July 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Rangers are 51-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 46-56 ATS.
Rangers vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 4-10, 3.59 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-9, 4.56 ERA
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -105 | +100 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +160 | U 8 -115 | -120 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+18.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 48 games (+18.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+17.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 50 games (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 48 games (+12.40 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 27 games (+33.15 Units / 123% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 27 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+8.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+8.65 Units / 124% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 99 games (+16.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 51 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 50% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games (+16.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 101 games (+9.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 46-57 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -13.45% ROI).
- 51-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -6.75% ROI
- 40-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.7 Units / -20.86% ROI
- 58-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.35 Units / 12.69% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 46-56 against the Run Line (-21.95 Units / -15.68% ROI).
- 46-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -13.51% ROI
- 53-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 1.96% ROI
- 46-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.5 Units / -11.14% ROI
Blue Jays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has walked 4 of 18 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 16th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed a just .305 SLG versus the heart of the order this season — tied for sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP– 95th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .577 versus the heart of the order last season — 13th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– ninth Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (181 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has not walked any of the 36 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .222 (10-for-45) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 96th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 47% (17 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .282 (49-for-174) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 12th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are just 5-95 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are just 7-82 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Rangers are just 3-42 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rangers are just 3-187 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are just 8-50 (.138) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Blue Jays are 31-26 (.544) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Blue Jays are just 14-27 (.341) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Blue Jays are 164-18 (.901) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .502 (264 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,698 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Rangers hitters are slugging .459 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .323 (12,707 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Blue Jays hitters have just 664 strikeouts in 3,436 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,827 strikeouts in 9,531 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .364 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 46 of 363 batters (13%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
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