Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 27

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Toronto Blue Jays' Davis Schneider during a baseball game against the Oakland Athletics in Oakland, Calif., Tuesday, Sept. 5, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 27, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Blue Jays are -140 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rangers / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSSW

The Texas Rangers (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-140) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Rangers are 51-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 46-57 ATS.

Rangers vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 5-5, 3.57 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 8-8, 4.56 ERA

Rangers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -175O 8.5 -105+120
Blue Jays -1.5 +145U 8.5 -115-140

Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+17.50 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 49 games (+16.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+16.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 49 games (+14.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 28 games (+32.15 Units / 115% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 28 games (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Walks Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 100 games (+15.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+7.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 102 games (+8.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 47-57 against the Run Line (-17 Units / -12.52% ROI).

  • 51-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -7.45% ROI
  • 41-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.7 Units / -19.79% ROI
  • 58-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.25 Units / 11.61% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 46-57 against the Run Line (-22.95 Units / -16.28% ROI).

  • 47-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -12.62% ROI
  • 54-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 2.82% ROI
  • 46-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -12% ROI

Blue Jays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Blue Jays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Blue Jays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Lorenzen (TEX) 3.5 -105 3.5 -120
Kevin Gausman (TOR) 5.5 +100 5.5 -130

Left-handed batters are hitting just .139 (22-for-158) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has walked 29 of 190 left-handed batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .526 (190 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .715 — 97th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .192 (91-for-474) against Michael Lorenzen since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 98th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (980/1,288) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (580/767) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (368/723) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 6.92 (39.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.63 — third Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rangers are just 3-187 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 9-170 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Rangers are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Rangers are just 5-95 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Blue Jays are just 6-17 (.261) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.

The Blue Jays are just 8-50 (.138) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Blue Jays are 60-57 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Blue Jays are 31-26 (.544) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

team hitters – away

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .507 (97 PA’s) against LHP this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Blue Jays hitters have just 664 strikeouts in 3,436 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,025 strikeouts in 5,446 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 2,632 strikeouts in 12,707 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

team pitchers – home

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
  • Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
  • Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
  • Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.