- The Rangers are -115 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Rangers vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (-130) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+110) on Sunday, July 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Rangers are 51-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 47-57 ATS.
Rangers vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 5-4, 3.76 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 8-8, 4.09 ERA
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -115 | -130 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -105 | +110 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 26 games (+16.50 Units / 63% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 50 games (+13.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.60 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 29 games (+31.15 Units / 107% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+9.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+7.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 101 games (+14.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 53 games (+6.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 47% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 34 games (+18.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 103 games (+6.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 47-58 against the Run Line (-18.8 Units / -13.66% ROI).
- 51-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -8.14% ROI
- 42-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.7 Units / -18.74% ROI
- 58-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.15 Units / 10.54% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 47-57 against the Run Line (-21.4 Units / -15.07% ROI).
- 48-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.4 Units / -11.72% ROI
- 55-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 3.67% ROI
- 46-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.7 Units / -12.85% ROI
Blue Jays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Gray (TEX) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray has a strike rate of 76% (76/100) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 37% (529/1,413) against Jon Gray since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .463 (56-for-121) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.
Jon Gray has not walked any of the 31 batters that he has faced in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .338 (23-for-68) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (171/874) against Jose Berrios this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .421 (96 Total Bases / 228 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — third Percentile.
Jose Berrios has struck out just 17% (38/231) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 12th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are just 2-37 (.051) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are just 9-171 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 3-24 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Rangers are just 3-188 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are just 8-50 (.138) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Blue Jays are 31-26 (.544) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Blue Jays are just 14-27 (.341) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Blue Jays are 43-28 (.606) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .245 (278 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .753 (4,541 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .507 (278 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Rangers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .648 (816 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Blue Jays are batting .257 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have just 422 strikeouts in 2,221 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .467 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .558.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers pitchers have walked 56 of 925 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.19 (474.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
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