Rangers vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

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Milwaukee Brewers' Christian Yelich hits an RBI single during the third inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 24, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Brewers are -165 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rangers / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | BSSW

The Texas Rangers (+145) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-175) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Rangers are 37-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 40-38 ATS.

Rangers vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 4-3, 3.03 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-4, 4.10 ERA

Rangers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -145O 8 -105+145
Brewers -1.5 +120U 8 -115-175

Rangers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+19.10 Units / 382% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+18.00 Units / 180% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 24 games at home (+9.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+18.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+3.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 78 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+9.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 36-41 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -9.61% ROI).

  • 37-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -10.09% ROI
  • 27-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.7 Units / -27.83% ROI
  • 46-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.7 Units / 19.82% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 40-38 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -1.53% ROI).

  • 45-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 10.97% ROI
  • 42-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.4 Units / 8.68% ROI
  • 32-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.25 Units / -16.5% ROI

Brewers vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Brewers vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Brewers vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Brewers vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddy Peralta (MIL) 5.5 -155 5.5 +115
Michael Lorenzen (TEX) 3.5 -140 3.5 +105

Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .144 (17 Total Bases / 118 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .102 (12-for-118) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen allowed a batting average of .304 vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– fifth Percentile and just .102 vs left-handed batters this season (best among non-qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .351 (135 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .715 — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 32% (130 SO in 404 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 36% (49 SO in 135 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 56% (106 SO in 188 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has thrown elevated pitches 46% of the time (316/687) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rangers are just 2-27 (.069) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.

The Rangers are just 5-85 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Rangers are just 9-160 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Rangers are just 3-177 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Brewers are 30-60 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Brewers are 104-74 (.584) after a loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .490.

The Brewers are 11-21 (.344) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .197.

The Brewers are 33-27 (.550) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .873 (518 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.045.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (384 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .452 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

Brewers hitters have 6 extra-base hits out of 47 total hits (just 13%) against LHP this month (20 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .322 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

The Brewers are batting just .233 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 275 of 2,865 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (704.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.

Brewers vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
  • Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.