Rangers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 29

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(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 29, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Rangers are -115 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Rangers vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rangers / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | BSSW | ESPN+

The Texas Rangers (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Rangers are 51-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 52-53 ATS.

Rangers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 7-4, 3.34 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 4-4, 3.91 ERA

Rangers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +145O 8.5 -110-115
Cardinals +1.5 -175U 8.5 -110-105

Rangers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 27 games (+15.50 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 45 games (+15.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.95 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 48 games (+30.20 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+24.45 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+15.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+13.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+12.40 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 102 games (+13.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+8.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 54 games (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 44 games (+3.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+1.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 47-59 against the Run Line (-19.8 Units / -14.29% ROI).

  • 51-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -9.05% ROI
  • 43-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.7 Units / -17.72% ROI
  • 58-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +11 Units / 9.45% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 52-53 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -2.89% ROI).

  • 54-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -5.73% ROI
  • 48-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -8.46% ROI
  • 52-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -0.74% ROI

Cardinals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Cardinals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195

Cardinals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Cardinals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) 4.5 -185 4.5 +135
Andre Pallante (STL) 2.5 -185 2.5 +140

Nathan Eovaldi allowed a batting average of just .130 vs right-handed batters (sixth best)– 93rd Percentile and .360 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (third worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .089 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .299 — 100th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has not walked any of the 123 batters that he has faced this month (5 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (90/156) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 76% (163/214) against Andre Pallante since last season — 2nd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .327 (74-for-226) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (500/743) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Andre Pallante has allowed an OBP of .408 (260 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .305 — second Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Rangers are just 2-38 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Rangers are just 3-24 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Rangers are just 3-189 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 4-36 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Cardinals are just 23-35 (.397) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 12-106 (.102) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Cardinals are 13-9 (.591) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .444.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,737 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

The Rangers are batting .262 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .755 (4,547 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .243 (284 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .633 (1,177 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Cardinals are batting just .225 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .682 (2,737 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.19 (474.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.

The Rangers have allowed 3.38 runs per game (176/52) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
  • Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.