Rangers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 30

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Rangers vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rangers / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | BSSW

The Texas Rangers (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Rangers are 52-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 52-54 ATS.

Rangers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 2-3, 3.64 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 5-4, 4.15 ERA

Rangers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +135O 8.5 -115-120
Cardinals +1.5 -160U 8.5 -105+100

Rangers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 28 games (+24.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+13.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 50 games (+10.85 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 49 games (+29.20 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+23.45 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+13.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+12.40 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 103 games (+12.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+10.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 55 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 45 games (+1.40 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 48-59 against the Run Line (-18.4 Units / -13.18% ROI).

  • 52-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -8.24% ROI
  • 44-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.7 Units / -16.7% ROI
  • 58-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.9 Units / 8.43% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 52-54 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -4.03% ROI).

  • 54-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -6.45% ROI
  • 49-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -7.51% ROI
  • 52-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.69% ROI

Cardinals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Joshua Jung (TEX) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Cardinals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Joshua Jung (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Cardinals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Joshua Jung (TEX) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Cardinals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Scherzer (TEX) 4.5 -165 4.5 +125
Lance Lynn (STL) 4.5 +110 4.5 -140

Opponents had a chase percentage of 54% (27/50) against Max Scherzer in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (18/65) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% (49/147) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 171 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (78/251) against Max Scherzer since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .477 (199 Total Bases / 417 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 10th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of .822 (468 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — sixth Percentile.

Lance Lynn has walked 42 of 468 batters (9%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 16th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of 1.402 (36 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .731 — first Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Rangers are just 3-24 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

The Rangers are just 7-84 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Rangers are just 2-38 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The Rangers are just 9-172 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Cardinals are just 23-35 (.397) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 12-107 (.101) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Cardinals are 14-10 (.583) after a road loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (518 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,739 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,995 PA’s) at home since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,177 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .682 (2,737 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .633 (1,177 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Rangers have allowed 3.38 runs per game (176/52) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.19 (474.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.

Rangers pitchers have walked 12 of 248 batters (5%) over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 159 of 2,380 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
  • Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.