Rangers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 31

St. Louis Cardinals second baseman Nolan Gorman throws out Cincinnati Reds' Elly De La Cruz at first base during the fifth inning of a baseball game, Friday, Sept. 8, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
  • The Rangers are -115 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Rangers vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Rangers / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | BSSW

The Texas Rangers (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Rangers are 52-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 53-54 ATS.

Rangers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 4-10, 3.76 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Michael McGreevy 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Rangers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +140O 9 -105-115
Cardinals +1.5 -165U 9 -115-105

Rangers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 29 games (+23.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+17.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+14.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.85 Units / 109% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 50 games (+28.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+25.35 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+12.40 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 104 games (+11.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 games (+4.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 46 games (+2.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 42 games (+1.50 Units / 3% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 48-60 against the Run Line (-19.4 Units / -13.8% ROI).

  • 52-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -9.11% ROI
  • 45-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.7 Units / -15.71% ROI
  • 58-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.8 Units / 7.42% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 53-54 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -3.28% ROI).

  • 55-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -5.57% ROI
  • 50-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -6.59% ROI
  • 52-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -2.62% ROI

Cardinals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500

Cardinals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Cardinals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185

Cardinals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Heaney (TEX) 4.5 -110 4.5 -115
Michael McGreevy (STL) 3.5 +120 3.5 -155

Opponents are hitting just .182 (37-for-203) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,318/2,393) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,060/1,932) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has walked 7 of 181 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Rangers are just 3-24 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Rangers are just 2-39 (.049) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.

The Rangers are just 3-190 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 15-61 (.197) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Cardinals are just 23-35 (.397) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 6-21 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Cardinals are just 24-60 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .378.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .502 (289 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,739 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .259 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Rangers hitters have 75 extra-base hits out of 253 total hits (just 30%) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,189 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Cardinals are batting just .227 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .322 (12,288 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,189 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Rangers pitchers have walked 57 of 950 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Rangers have allowed 3.38 runs per game (176/52) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
  • Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.