- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rangers / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-140) on Friday, August 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Rangers are 59-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 62-65 ATS.
Rangers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 8-7, 3.78 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 10-5, 3.36 ERA
Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rangers | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -125 | +115 |
Guardians | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 +105 | -140 |
Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 34 games (+15.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games (+12.50 Units / 69% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+12.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+11.65 Units / 69% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+49.50 Units / 206% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+17.65 Units / 70% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 37 games (+15.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 away games (+12.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games at home (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games at home (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 54 games at home (+5.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 56-72 against the Run Line (-26.3 Units / -15.57% ROI).
- 59-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.5 Units / -12.12% ROI
- 55-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.6 Units / -13.21% ROI
- 67-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 4.72% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 62-65 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -1.63% ROI).
- 73-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.67 Units / 7.24% ROI
- 61-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -2.96% ROI
- 59-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -5.78% ROI
Guardians vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Guardians vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Guardians vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (110/183) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a slugging percentage of just .212 (14 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — 94th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has not allowed a walk in his last 110 PAs against a RHH dating back to June 26th — Jon Gray has the longest active streak at 171.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (32/183) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .133 (16-for-120) against Tanner Bibee on sliders this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 97th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee since last season is 384.0 feet — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 398.9
Opponents are hitting just .180 (53-for-294) against Tanner Bibee’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 86th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee in the 2023 season was 380.0 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers are just 10-183 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 4-201 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 17-169 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Rangers are just 4-50 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Guardians are 22-24 (.478) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Guardians are 24-11 (.686) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Guardians are 38-20 (.655) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Guardians are 55-2 (.965) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have 6 strikeouts in 12 PA’s (50%) against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
26% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rangers are batting just .159 against LHP this month (14 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Rangers hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (394/10,786) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.7
Rangers pitchers have walked 430 of 4,803 batters (9%) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (536.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Guardians have allowed 0.84 runs per game (107/127) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Guardians vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
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