- The Rangers are +105 favorites vs the Guardians
- Rangers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rangers / Guardians TV Channel: BSSW | BSGL
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Rangers are 60-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 62-66 ATS.
Rangers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 5-4, 3.78 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 10-8, 3.69 ERA
Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -115 | +105 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -225 | U 8.5 -105 | -125 |
Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 35 games (+16.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 61% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+10.65 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+48.50 Units / 194% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+16.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+14.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+13.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 away games (+13.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games at home (+11.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 54 games at home (+3.10 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 57-72 against the Run Line (-25.3 Units / -14.82% ROI).
- 60-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -11.28% ROI
- 56-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.6 Units / -12.39% ROI
- 67-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 3.95% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 62-66 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -2.25% ROI).
- 73-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.22 Units / 6.28% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -2.23% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -6.49% ROI
Guardians vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Guardians vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively (CLE) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray has not allowed a walk in his last 171 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 16th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Jon Gray has walked 3 of 206 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .430 (74-for-172) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: .341 — second Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown his slider 54% of the time (1,007/1,867) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total SL; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
12 of Ben Lively’s 33 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (82/456) against Ben Lively this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Ben Lively has a strikeout rate of just 27% (12 SO in 45 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Ben Lively has allowed an OBP of just .258 (155 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers are just 10-183 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 6-108 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are 40-20 (.667) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Rangers are 29-6 (.829) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .756.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Guardians are just 2-48 (.040) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Guardians are 22-24 (.478) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Guardians are 38-21 (.644) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Guardians are just 3-47 (.060) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have 4 strikeouts in 8 PA’s (50%) against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
26% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,246/17,158 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
The Rangers are batting just .158 against LHP this month (15 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .277 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.7
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.27 (545.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Rangers pitchers have walked 68 of 1,139 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Rangers have allowed 5.33 runs per game (341/64) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Guardians have allowed 0.84 runs per game (108/128) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
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