- The Mariners are -155 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: ATV+
The Texas Rangers (+130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Friday, June 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Rangers are 33-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 34-37 ATS.
Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 2-7, 4.07 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 5-7, 3.35 ERA
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | O 7 +100 | +130 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | U 7 -120 | -155 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+20.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 27 games (+18.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+16.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+16.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.75 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+17.60 Units / 160% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+17.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games at home (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 30-38 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -13.73% ROI).
- 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -9.76% ROI
- 24-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -28.32% ROI
- 41-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.85 Units / 19.96% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 34-37 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -6.9% ROI).
- 40-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 2.65% ROI
- 26-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -25.52% ROI
- 42-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +13 Units / 16.65% ROI
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Luis Castillo (Sea) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 45% (14/31) against Andrew Heaney over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (31-for-178) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (7/28) against Andrew Heaney — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (9/31) against Andrew Heaney over the last 14 days — 5th lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .324 (12-for-37) against Luis Castillo on low fastballs this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — 18th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (128/383) against Luis Castillo this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .207 (81-for-391) against Luis Castillo when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 86th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (42/93) against Luis Castillo in late innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 2-23 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
The Rangers are 15-1 (.938) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .761.
The Rangers are just 3-173 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rangers are just 5-81 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 168-7 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Mariners are 58-10 (.853) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Mariners are 109-3 (.973) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Mariners are 24-12 (.667) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .465 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Rangers hitters have 39 extra-base hits out of 181 total hits (just 21%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
14% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (365/2,557 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Rangers hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 173 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 51 strikeouts in 154 PA’s (33%) against LHP this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 30 of 630 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.15 (1072.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Mariners pitchers have walked 170 of 2,534 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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