- The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: FOX
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-125) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Rangers are 33-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 34-38 ATS.
Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 3-2, 2.72 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 5-5, 3.56 ERA
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -210 | O 6.5 +100 | +105 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +170 | U 6.5 -120 | -125 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+19.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 27 games (+18.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+16.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+15.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.75 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+17.60 Units / 160% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.25 Units / 41% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+18.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+13.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+12.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+11.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 31-38 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -12.3% ROI).
- 33-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -10.79% ROI
- 24-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.4 Units / -29.36% ROI
- 42-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.85 Units / 20.99% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 34-38 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -7.89% ROI).
- 41-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 3.67% ROI
- 26-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.55 Units / -26.58% ROI
- 43-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +14 Units / 17.68% ROI
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh Rojas (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 6.5 +150 | 6.5 -200 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 76% (123/161) this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 76% (123/161) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (65/407) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .191 (47 PA’s) this month (2 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — 98th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 10 of 403 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 20 of 630 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 7 of 327 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 1 of 169 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 2-24 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Rangers are just 3-174 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rangers are just 6-11 (.353) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Rangers are just 10-18 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 169-7 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Mariners are 9-2 (.818) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Mariners are 58-10 (.853) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Mariners are 148-25 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .465 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .803 (4,306 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
14% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (370/2,591 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .304 (339 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Mariners hitters have 620 strikeouts in 2,360 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters have 198 strikeouts in 736 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 252 of 2,572 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 30 of 639 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 20% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 172 of 2,568 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners have allowed 2.86 runs per game (106/37) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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