- The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSSW | MLBN
The Texas Rangers (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Rangers are 33-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 35-38 ATS.
Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 4-5, 4.81 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 3-4, 3.21 ERA
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rangers | +1.5 -190 | O 7 -105 | +110 |
Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 7 -115 | -135 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+18.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+16.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games at home (+16.60 Units / 138% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+10.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 54% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+17.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games at home (+13.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+13.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+8.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 31-39 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -14.34% ROI).
- 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -11.79% ROI
- 25-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.4 Units / -27.65% ROI
- 42-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.75 Units / 19.26% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 35-38 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -5.91% ROI).
- 42-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 4.67% ROI
- 27-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -24.94% ROI
- 43-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.9 Units / 16.06% ROI
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Ezequiel Duran (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Dane Dunning (TEX) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6.5 +135 | 6.5 -175 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (112/230) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Dane Dunning has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 19 innings — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
The last hit on a Dane Dunning fastball was May 29th. Hitters are 0 for their last 19 in ABs ending on his fastball. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Dane Dunning has walked 15 of 87 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .232 (13-for-56) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 93rd Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .181 (127 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has induced opposing hitters to ground into 10 double plays in 43 opportunities (23%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .245 (155 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — 96th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 9-158 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 2-25 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Rangers are just 7-71 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Rangers are just 10-18 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 50-7 (.877) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Mariners are 33-35 (.485) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Mariners are 111-3 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Mariners are 53-31 (.631) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 173 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,953/14,964 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
The Rangers are batting just .265 in hitter’s counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .260 (4,663 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 56 strikeouts in 167 PA’s (34%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Mariners are batting just .210 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 260 of 2,611 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .238 (648 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Mariners pitchers have walked 31 of 648 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 175 of 2,606 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners have allowed 3.56 runs per game (424/119) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.54.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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