Rangers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 16

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Seattle Mariners' J.P. Crawford follows through during an at-bat a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 16, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSSW | MLBN

The Texas Rangers (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Rangers are 33-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 35-38 ATS.

Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 4-5, 4.81 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 3-4, 3.21 ERA

Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -190O 7 -105+110
Mariners -1.5 +155U 7 -115-135

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+18.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+16.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games at home (+16.60 Units / 138% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+10.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+17.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games at home (+13.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+13.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+8.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.75 Units / 14% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 31-39 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -14.34% ROI).

  • 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -11.79% ROI
  • 25-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.4 Units / -27.65% ROI
  • 42-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.75 Units / 19.26% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 35-38 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -5.91% ROI).

  • 42-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 4.67% ROI
  • 27-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -24.94% ROI
  • 43-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.9 Units / 16.06% ROI

Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Dominic Canzone (SEA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Ezequiel Duran (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dane Dunning (TEX) 5.5 -120 5.5 -105
Logan Gilbert (SEA) 6.5 +135 6.5 -175

Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (112/230) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.

Dane Dunning has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 19 innings — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

The last hit on a Dane Dunning fastball was May 29th. Hitters are 0 for their last 19 in ABs ending on his fastball. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Dane Dunning has walked 15 of 87 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .232 (13-for-56) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 93rd Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .181 (127 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has induced opposing hitters to ground into 10 double plays in 43 opportunities (23%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .245 (155 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — 96th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 9-158 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Rangers are just 2-25 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

The Rangers are just 7-71 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The Rangers are just 10-18 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are 50-7 (.877) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Mariners are 33-35 (.485) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Mariners are 111-3 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Mariners are 53-31 (.631) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

Rangers hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 173 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,953/14,964 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

The Rangers are batting just .265 in hitter’s counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .260 (4,663 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Mariners hitters have 56 strikeouts in 167 PA’s (34%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Mariners are batting just .210 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.

The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 260 of 2,611 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .238 (648 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.

Mariners pitchers have walked 31 of 648 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 175 of 2,606 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Mariners have allowed 3.56 runs per game (424/119) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.54.

Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
  • Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.