- The Phillies are -190 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rangers / Phillies TV Channel: WCAU | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Rangers are 24-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 29-21 ATS.
Rangers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-5, 4.44 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 5-3, 2.52 ERA
Rangers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -120 | O 8 +100 | +155 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +100 | U 8 -120 | -190 |
Rangers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 64.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+18.60 Units / 266% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+19.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+15.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+14.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 47 games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 23 away games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 33 games (+24.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games (+19.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games (+19.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 33 games (+18.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 31 games (+15.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 19-31 against the Run Line (-15.9 Units / -25.18% ROI).
- 24-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -13.84% ROI
- 20-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -19.64% ROI
- 28-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 11% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 29-21 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 16.75% ROI).
- 36-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.85 Units / 19.24% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 1.46% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -10.43% ROI
Phillies vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Phillies vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Phillies vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +115 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 65% (17/26) against Andrew Heaney on low breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (21/37) against Andrew Heaney on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (19/34) against Andrew Heaney on sliders this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .283 (108-for-381) against Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs since last season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .228 — sixth Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (435/1,034) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .157 (17 Total Bases / 108 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (533/1,248) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .081 (11-for-135) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rangers are just 3-164 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 2-83 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rangers are just 88-59 (.599) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Rangers are 36-22 (.621) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 55-38 (.591) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Phillies are 76-48 (.613) after a win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .473 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Rangers are batting just .097 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Rangers hitters are slugging .444 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .777 (5,997 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies have scored first in 91% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .506 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 72% at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .744 (9,929 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 189 of 1,887 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 65% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .136 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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