Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 7

Boston Red Sox's Masataka Yoshida bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Minnesota Twins, Tuesday, June 20, 2023, in Minneapolis.
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
  • The Red Sox are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Rangers / Red Sox TV Channel: RASN | NESN

The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-120) on Wednesday, May 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.

This season, the Rangers are 18-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 17-20 ATS.

Rangers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 3-1, 1.21 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 0-2, 6.39 ERA

Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -210O 9.5 -120+100
Red Sox -1.5 +160U 9.5 +100-120

Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+17.15 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.80 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 19-16 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.41% ROI).

  • 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -2.53% ROI
  • 11-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.95 Units / -40.9% ROI
  • 25-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.85 Units / 31.97% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 17-20 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -5.75% ROI).

  • 18-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -15.36% ROI
  • 17-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -9.18% ROI
  • 19-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 1.48% ROI

Red Sox vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman (BOS) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -625
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Red Sox vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh H. Smith (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Romy Gonzalez (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Red Sox vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Alex Bregman (BOS) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Red Sox vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Mahle (TEX) 4.5 -135 4.5 +100
Tanner Houck (BOS) 4.5 -115 4.5 -110

Tyler Mahle has allowed an OPS of just .350 (65 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .699 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has allowed an OBP of just .200 (65 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .133 (8-for-60) against Tyler Mahle this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 96th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has allowed an OPS of just .466 (146 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .683 — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .342 (26-for-76) against Tanner Houck’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — second Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 56% (293/524) against Tanner Houck in the 2024 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .362 (21-for-58) against Tanner Houck when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — third Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of 1.069 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .703 — second Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rangers are just 16-24 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Rangers are just 14-120 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Rangers were just 10-59 (.145) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Red Sox are just 40-155 (.205) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Red Sox are just 14-142 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Red Sox are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .122.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .553 (370 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .689.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 51% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Rangers hitters are averaging just 3.70 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Red Sox hitters have put just 28% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Red Sox hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Red Sox hitters slugged .266 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Rangers pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 510.9 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.