- The Red Sox are -140 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rangers / Red Sox TV Channel: RASN | NESN | MLBN
The Texas Rangers (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on Thursday, May 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.
This season, the Rangers are 18-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 18-20 ATS.
Rangers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 2-1, 4.59 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 2-0, 2.55 ERA
Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | O 9 +100 | +120 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -120 | -145 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+11.50 Units / 192% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+11.60 Units / 145% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+4.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 19-17 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -3.05% ROI).
- 18-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -4.72% ROI
- 12-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -37.28% ROI
- 25-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.75 Units / 28.45% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 18-20 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -2.44% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -13.18% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -6.56% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -1.2% ROI
Red Sox vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kristian Campbell (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (15/53) against Jack Leiter this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Jack Leiter has a strike rate of just 60% (191/317) this season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 64% — ninth Percentile.
47% of Jack Leiter’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Jack Leiter has allowed three-ball counts to 27% of batters they faced (20/75 PA’s) this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 20% — seventh Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brayan Bello allowed an OBP of .352 (270 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — sixth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 55% (118/216) against Brayan Bello in the 2024 season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (8/40) against Brayan Bello in late innings since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 51% (242/474) against Brayan Bello in the 2024 season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 91st Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers are just 20-30 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are just 14-120 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rangers are just 16-24 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are just 5-71 (.066) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Red Sox are just 14-142 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Red Sox are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 51% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Rangers are batting just .299 in hitter’s counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 28% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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