- The Blue Jays are -130 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Blue Jays TV Channel: FSUN | RSN1
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Rays are 18-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 25-15 ATS.
Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 3-2, 4.93 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 1-1, 3.86 ERA
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -118 | +110 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +170 | U 8 -102 | -130 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+10.90 Units / 109% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 72% ROI)
- Shane Baz has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+12.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+6.90 Units / 173% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+8.20 Units / 100% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.45 Units / 56% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.69 Units / 66% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 17-23 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -15.14% ROI).
- 18-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.57 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 15-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -23.2% ROI
- 23-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.9 Units / 15.81% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 25-15 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 13.21% ROI).
- 20-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.69 Units / 1.52% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -3.54% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -4.06% ROI
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz allowed a BABIP of .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (62/326) against Shane Baz since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Shane Baz has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (96/195) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 20% (43/219) versus Shane Baz in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of 54% with two strikes this season — tied for fifth highest among qualified SPs– 95th Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 39% with two strikes last season — eighth lowest among qualified SPs– 15th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has walked 12% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 4-19 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .082.
The Rays are 2-18 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Rays are just 11-17 (.393) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Rays are 14-145 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are just 12-4 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Blue Jays are just 81-8 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays are just 27-50 (.351) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Rays (eighth best runs allowed) today.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting just .198 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters are slugging just .287 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
The Rays batted just .212 with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .243 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .344.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters had an OPS of just .653 (1,419 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 63% of the time this month (10 game{NumGameSuffix}) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. this month (10 game{NumGameSuffix}) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Rays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .045 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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