- The Blue Jays are -140 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-140) on Saturday, May 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Rays are 24-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 19-24 ATS.
Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 3-4, 3.89 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 2-3, 4.96 ERA
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -115 | -140 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.15 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+11.95 Units / 171% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 29 games (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 22-24 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -3.76% ROI).
- 24-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -9.21% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.2% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -8.68% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 19-24 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -16.92% ROI).
- 19-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -15.38% ROI
- 17-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -24.71% ROI
- 26-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 14.96% ROI
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Zach Eflin (TB) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 4 of 220 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has not walked any of the 81 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 360 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has not walked any of the 81 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 33% (210 SO in 630 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 30% (103 SO in 342 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (399/534) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (799/1,055) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 15-33 (.312) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are just 8-19 (.296) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rays are 9-73 (.110) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 24-17 (.585) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are 22-12 (.647) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 11-70 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Blue Jays are just 11-52 (.175) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rays hitters have 106 strikeouts in 406 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Blue Jays hitters have just 333 strikeouts in 1,781 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 65 strikeouts in 376 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 579 strikeouts in 3,020 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 958 of 13,685 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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