Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 19

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Toronto Blue Jays' Bo Bichette swings at a pitch from the Baltimore Orioles during the first inning of a baseball game, Wednesday, June 14, 2023, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 19, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Rays vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rays / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSUN

The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Sunday, May 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Rays are 25-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 19-25 ATS.

Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-3, 5.83 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah 0-1, 4.91 ERA

Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +155O 8.5 -120-110
Blue Jays +1.5 -190U 8.5 +100-110

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games (+13.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 57% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+10.95 Units / 137% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+17.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-24 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -2.03% ROI).

  • 25-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -7.12% ROI
  • 25-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 1.75% ROI
  • 22-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -10.79% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 19-25 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -18.32% ROI).

  • 19-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -17.52% ROI
  • 18-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -22.12% ROI
  • 26-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 12.13% ROI

Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Manoah (TOR) 4.5 -160 4.5 +120
Aaron Civale (TB) 4.5 +135 4.5 -175

Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of 1.178 (34 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .709 — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (27/86) against Aaron Civale this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (45/138) against Aaron Civale this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .478 (11-for-23) against Aaron Civale on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .316 — fifth Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alek Manoah has walked 64 of 465 batters (14%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

The average home run distance against Alek Manoah since last season is 384.8 feet — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 398.8

Right-handed batters are hitting just .189 (93-for-493) against Alek Manoah since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .286 (6-for-21) against Alek Manoah with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 3rd highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .177 — fifth Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are just 9-19 (.321) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Rays are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Rays are 9-73 (.110) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are 24-17 (.585) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Blue Jays are 18-11 (.621) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

The Blue Jays are just 11-53 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Blue Jays are 49-37 (.570) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .462.

Rays hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have 107 strikeouts in 410 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .270 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Blue Jays hitters have just 66 strikeouts in 379 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Blue Jays are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Blue Jays hitters have just 334 strikeouts in 1,784 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,313 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The average home run distance against the Blue Jays pitchers since last season is 393.5 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.