- The Guardians are -185 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-185) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Rays are 72-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 74-73 ATS.
Rays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 6-9, 3.91 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 11-7, 3.58 ERA
Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -120 | +150 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 +100 | -185 |
Rays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+21.10 Units / 176% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 17 games (+20.50 Units / 121% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+19.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+19.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 86 of their last 144 games (+23.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 games (+13.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 71 games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 138 games (+12.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 55 away games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 84 of their last 147 games (+11.07 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 64 games at home (+7.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 76-71 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.23% ROI).
- 72-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -6.08% ROI
- 66-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -10.34% ROI
- 76-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 2.28% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 74-73 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 1.25% ROI).
- 84-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.07 Units / 5.82% ROI
- 67-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -7.14% ROI
- 71-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -1.65% ROI
Guardians vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Guardians vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Guardians vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 49% of the time (291/591) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (46/157) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has allowed an OBP of just .256 (211 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 98th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 7 of 232 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .187 (47-for-252) against Tanner Bibee this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (146/419) against Tanner Bibee this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee in the 2023 season was 379.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents are hitting just .198 (46-for-232) against Tanner Bibee when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 88th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rays are 127-5 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rays are 29-109 (.210) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Rays are just 27-52 (.342) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Rays are just 20-38 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Guardians are 65-2 (.970) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Guardians are 38-169 (.184) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are just 9-16 (.360) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Guardians are 83-63 (.568) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .369 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
The Rays are batting .262 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .293 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Guardians hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,241 of 17,436 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Guardians pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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