- The Pirates are -160 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Pirates TV Channel: BSUN | SNPT
The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-160) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Rays are 37-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 40-36 ATS.
Rays vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-5, 5.43 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 4-0, 2.29 ERA
Rays vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -160 |
Rays vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 74 games (+20.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 68 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 65 games (+19.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 35-42 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -9.37% ROI).
- 37-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -12.24% ROI
- 40-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 0.83% ROI
- 36-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -9.36% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 40-36 against the Run Line (+1.31 Units / 1.33% ROI).
- 37-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -4.48% ROI
- 35-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -6.3% ROI
- 37-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.72 Units / -0.87% ROI
Pirates vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Pirates vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale (TB) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +100 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (74/230) against Aaron Civale this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Aaron Civale has located his pitches away 58% of the time (155/267) when behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .281 (38-for-135) against Aaron Civale this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 16th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (60/181) against Aaron Civale on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 34% (53 SO in 154 PAs) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has an average fastball velocity of 99.3 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has walked 1 of 47 batters (2%) over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rays are just 17-38 (.309) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Rays are just 10-24 (.294) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Pirates are just 19-30 (.388) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Pirates are just 85-19 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Pirates are just 16-24 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
27% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters have 180 strikeouts in 553 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 177 strikeouts in 699 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 52 strikeouts in 126 PA’s (41%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Pirates are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters have 410 strikeouts in 1,203 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 215 of 2,960 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,413 of 15,404 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed 165 barreled balls this season — 5th most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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