- The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rays vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Rangers TV Channel: BSUN | BSSW | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Rays are 44-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 41-47 ATS.
Rays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 3-4, 3.40 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 3-9, 4.03 ERA
Rays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Rays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 56 of their last 85 games (+25.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games (+7.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 away games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 39 games at home (+18.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+7.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+6.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 42-46 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -5.81% ROI).
- 44-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -8.16% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -4.04% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -4.33% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 41-47 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -9.77% ROI).
- 40-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -14.08% ROI
- 33-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.9 Units / -23.67% ROI
- 51-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.9 Units / 15.38% ROI
Rangers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Siri (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rangers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rangers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has struck out 33% (118/354) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (22/104) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 32% (72 SO in 228 PAs) this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (83/156) against Taj Bradley against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (181 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Andrew Heaney has walked 1 of 104 batters (1%) versus the bottom of the order this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 33% (46/139) against Andrew Heaney when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has a strikeout rate of 56% (14 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes — 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 89th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rays are 11-93 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are 110-26 (.809) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Rays are 65-41 (.613) after a loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Rays are 10-35 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rangers are just 3-183 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 5-91 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are just 2-32 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are just 93-61 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
The Rays have scored first in 69% of their road games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (423 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,617 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters are slugging .461 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Rangers hitters are slugging .426 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,071 of 15,274 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rangers have allowed 3.35 runs per game (144/43) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Rangers pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rangers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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