- The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: FSUN | NESN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Rays are 36-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 34-34 ATS.
Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 6-5, 3.69 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 4-4, 5.18 ERA
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +150 | O 10 -120 | -105 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -185 | U 10 +100 | -115 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+16.50 Units / 330% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.65 Units / 144% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 25 games at home (+5.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+10.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.96 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 51 games (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 32 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 32-35 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -3% ROI).
- 36-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.68 Units / 1.99% ROI
- 25-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -24.53% ROI
- 39-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.05 Units / 16.53% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 34-34 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 1.57% ROI).
- 33-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.86 Units / -12.89% ROI
- 33-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.52 Units / -7.26% ROI
- 35-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.52% ROI
Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -295 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Abraham Toro (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Walker Buehler (BOS) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 52% of the time (124/238) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 96th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 4% of batters since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Zack Littell threw breaking pitches away 88% of the time (83/94) in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Walker Buehler has a in-zone of just 33% (90/270) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Walker Buehler has thrown just 31% of his pitches in the strike zone (103/328) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Walker Buehler’s pitches (361/669) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 60% — fourth Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed a slugging percentage of .382 (96 Total Bases / 251 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 0 Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Rays are 16-151 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 36-139 (.206) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Rays are 66-10 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are just 16-152 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox are just 7-81 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rays batted just .212 with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rays hitters are slugging just .373 since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Rays hitters had an OBP of just .299 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .989 (158 PA’s) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .653.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .411 (158 PA’s) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 62% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers walked 103 of 1,444 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Rays pitchers in 2023 — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 64 double plays in 423 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have 368 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 4th most in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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