- The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Rays are 21-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 20-22 ATS.
Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 0-1, 1.50 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 3-4, 2.22 ERA
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -105 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -115 | -130 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+17.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 22 games (+14.50 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 19-24 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -10.42% ROI).
- 21-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -15.77% ROI
- 23-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 2.33% ROI
- 20-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -11.28% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 20-22 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -10.07% ROI).
- 22-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.6% ROI
- 14-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -30.78% ROI
- 26-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.55 Units / 22.54% ROI
Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Grissom (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Dominic Smith (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .973 (72 Total Bases / 74 ABs) when behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .614 — 0 Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (15/76) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (85/306) against Taj Bradley since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (30/170) against Taj Bradley on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck has a strike rate of 74% (152/204) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (84/147) against Tanner Houck this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .274 (54 Total Bases / 197 ABs) this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .385 — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has a strike rate of 74% (152/204) in two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are just 14-33 (.298) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are 18-8 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are just 1-91 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Red Sox are just 22-33 (.400) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Red Sox are just 38-68 (.358) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Red Sox are just 22-88 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Rays are batting just .200 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 133 strikeouts in 439 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,564 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 954 of 13,577 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 105 of 1,546 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The average home run distance against the Red Sox pitchers this season is 386.1 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 396.0
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (378.1 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 19 of 379 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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