- The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rays / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+100) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Rays are 42-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 49-37 ATS.
Rays vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 2-5, 4.19 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 4-4, 3.11 ERA
Rays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | O 9.5 -115 | +100 |
| Royals | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -105 | -120 |
Rays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 81 games (+23.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 away games (+6.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+14.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+11.24 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 games at home (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 40-44 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -6.47% ROI).
- 42-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -8.31% ROI
- 42-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.84% ROI
- 40-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -6.69% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 49-37 against the Run Line (+4.39 Units / 3.7% ROI).
- 47-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 8.15% ROI
- 36-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -15.62% ROI
- 46-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 6.62% ROI
Royals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Royals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
8 of Zack Littell’s 24 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (31/109) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (90/271) against Zack Littell this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .304 (55-for-181) against Zack Littell this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — fourth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has allowed a just .269 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for third best)– 97th Percentile and .508 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– fourth Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 3 of 144 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 57% of the time (248/434) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 18 of 144 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are just 19-39 (.328) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Rays are 23-11 (.676) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 12-25 (.324) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 23-54 (.299) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Royals are just 19-95 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 15-33 (.312) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Royals are just 12-65 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
28% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters have 181 strikeouts in 554 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays have scored first in 68% of their road games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,432 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters are slugging .267 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,063 of 15,134 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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