Rays vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 24

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(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 24, 2024, 11:00 AM

The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-130) on Sunday, March 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Lakeland, FL.

This season, the Rays are 6-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 9-9 ATS.

Rays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Rays+110
Tigers -130

Rays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 56.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
  • Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.10 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
  • Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Andre Lipcius has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jake Rogers has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nick Maton has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+1.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 88 of their last 160 games (+13.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rays are 9-11 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -13.89% ROI).

  • 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -28.47% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 3.9% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -14.39% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 9-9 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -0.49% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 23.32% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -41.75% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 33.69% ROI

Zack Littell threw breaking pitches away 88% of the time (83/94) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters swung at 53% of Zack Littell’s pitches (710/1,330) in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 97th Percentile.

Zack Littell walked 12 of 379 batters (3%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 99th Percentile.

Zack Littell had a strike rate of 69% (920/1,330) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .453 (236 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.

Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .317 (357 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.

Jack Flaherty walked 39 of 236 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Jack Flaherty walked 29 of 173 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Rays were just 4-12 (.250) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Rays were 39-23 (.629) after a loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Rays were 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.

The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Tigers are just 32-41 (.438) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Tigers were just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .312 with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Tigers batted just .241 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Tigers hitters slugged just .377 against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Tigers have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .302 (4,707 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Rays pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Tigers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Tigers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.