- The Yankees are + favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, July 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Rays are 48-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 53-46 ATS.
Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 4-4, 2.89 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 4-8, 3.68 ERA
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 61 of their last 94 games (+25.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 88 games (+12.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+16.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 65 games (+12.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.64 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+12.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 68 games (+6.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 46-51 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -6.84% ROI).
- 48-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -8.64% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -8.06% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.19% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 53-46 against the Run Line (+12.95 Units / 11.06% ROI).
- 59-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 1.74% ROI
- 50-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.09% ROI
- 45-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -9.07% ROI
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +115 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased 81 of Taj Bradley’s 218 fastballs out of the zone (37%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (38/100) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (10/15) against Taj Bradley in his last two starts — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (44/269) against Taj Bradley on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .458 (22-for-48) against Nestor Cortes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (103/333) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (89/273) against Nestor Cortes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .128 (5-for-39) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — 98th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 23-12 (.657) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 11-98 (.101) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are just 20-42 (.323) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Rays are just 13-28 (.317) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 11-13 (.458) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Yankees are 61-19 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .621.
The Yankees are 70-9 (.886) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Yankees are 25-20 (.556) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
26% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 116 walks in 1,000 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .217 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have drawn 228 walks in 2,168 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 238 of 3,759 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% with runners in scoring position this month (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Yankees have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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