Red Sox vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 5

Los Angeles Angels third baseman Anthony Rendon throws the ball into the crowd in the first inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Tuesday, June 13, 2023, in Arlington, Texas.
AP Photo/Gareth Patterson
  • The Red Sox are -105 favorites vs the Angels
  • Red Sox vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Red Sox / Angels TV Channel: NESN | BSW | MLBN

The Boston Red Sox (-105) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-115) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.

This season, the Red Sox are 5-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 4-2 ATS.

Red Sox vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 0-1, 9.01 ERA

Red Sox vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +155O 8.5 -105-105
Angels +1.5 -190U 8.5 -115-115

Red Sox vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+8.35 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Kutter Crawford has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+7.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 44 games (+16.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+14.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 away games (+3.20 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.43 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 5-2 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 30% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 38.15% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -17.65% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 9.03% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 4-2 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 22.6% ROI).

  • 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 39.84% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 27.34% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -38.97% ROI

Angels vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trout 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Sano 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
O'Hoppe 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Rendon 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Hicks 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Angels vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Crawford 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
Canning 6.5 +100 6.5 -130

Kutter Crawford has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (11/22) this season — 2nd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents batted just .164 (28-for-171) against Kutter Crawford’s fastball in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .270 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .180 (50-for-278) against Kutter Crawford on the road since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 100th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .143 (3 Total Bases / 21 ABs) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 93rd Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 43% (20/46) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.

Griffin Canning has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 39% (7/18) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 6% (1/17) against Griffin Canning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.

Griffin Canning has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 39% (7/18) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Red Sox were just 1-74 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Red Sox were 22-20 (.524) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .430.

The Red Sox were just 35-49 (.417) after a loss in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Red Sox were just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Angels are just 8-140 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Angels are just 23-125 (.155) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Angels were just 58-11 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Angels are just 38-41 (.481) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.

The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Red Sox are batting .565 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Red Sox batted .279 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

The Red Sox are batting .290 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .266 (948 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Angels hitters are averaging 4.46 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Angels are batting just .220 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .125 (16 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 1 of 65 batters (1%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 106 of 1,500 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 157 of 1,486 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Angels pitchers have walked 279 of 2,926 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
  • Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
  • Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.