- The Red Sox are -105 favorites vs the Angels
- Red Sox vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Angels TV Channel: NESN | BSW | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (-105) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-115) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Red Sox are 6-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 4-3 ATS.
Red Sox vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Whitlock 1-0, 1.80 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers 1-0, 1.80 ERA
Red Sox vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -105 |
| Angels | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -115 |
Red Sox vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+9.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+8.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 14 away games (+7.35 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 44 games (+16.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+14.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 away games (+3.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.43 Units / 76% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 6-2 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 40.91% ROI).
- 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 44.1% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -3.98% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -3.98% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 4-3 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 3.33% ROI).
- 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 18.62% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 36.42% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -47.13% ROI
Angels vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sano | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trout | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Moniak | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| O'Hoppe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Rendon | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
Angels vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Detmers | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Whitlock | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Whitlock has a strikeout rate of 42% (8 SO in 19 PAs) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has walked 13 of 323 batters (4%) since last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has walked 28 of 634 batters (4%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has not allowed a home run in any of the last 20.2 innings he’s appeared — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 55.0.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of 31% (94/307) against Reid Detmers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Reid Detmers has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.0 innings pitched — Reynaldo Lopez has the longest active streak at 18.1.
Opponents have a miss rate of 55% (12/22) against Reid Detmers on fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (17/39) against Reid Detmers this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox are just 38-48 (.442) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Red Sox are just 35-49 (.407) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Red Sox were 64-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels are just 31-23 (.574) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Angels were just 30-23 (.566) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels are just 66-7 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 57-37 (.606) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .180 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Red Sox hitters have a groundball batting average of .265 against the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .267 (951 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Angels hitters are slugging just .067 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .441.
The Angels are batting just .123 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .618 (951 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 16 of 290 batters (6%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 2 of 74 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 663 of 6,572 batters (10%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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